As we head into the week of August 4-10, 2025, the Asian stock markets are poised for volatility amid ongoing trade tensions, tariff concerns, and key economic data releases. Investors are closely monitoring U.S. influences, including nonfarm payrolls and services PMI, which could impact global sentiment and Asian indices.
Major upcoming earnings releases in the region include reports from mining giant Rio Tinto (RIO), which recently missed expectations, potentially affecting resource-heavy indices like Australia's ASX 200. Other anticipated earnings may come from tech and EV sectors, with companies like Tencent (0700.HK) and Alibaba (9988.HK) in focus amid Hong Kong's market dynamics.
Key scheduled economic events include China's export data, Japan's household spending figures, Taiwan's exports and inflation numbers, South Korea's inflation report, and India's central bank meeting. These releases are expected to provide insights into regional growth, with China's data particularly crucial for assessing stimulus effectiveness and trade war impacts.
Sectors expected to be in focus include electric vehicles (EV), driven by rallies in Hong Kong stocks, mining and resources amid tariff jitters and commodity price fluctuations, and technology, influenced by U.S. mega-cap earnings and global trade deals. Financials and healthcare may also see pressure from risk-off sentiment.
Analyst expectations for key indices vary: The Nikkei 225 is anticipated to face downward pressure from yen strength and profit-taking, potentially trading around 36,500-37,500, with a slight bearish tilt. The Hang Seng Index could remain volatile due to trade war worries, with projections for a range of 19,500-20,500 amid EV sector boosts. The Shanghai Composite is expected to see modest gains on stimulus hopes, targeting 3,200-3,300, though weak PMIs may cap upside.
The most anticipated tickers for the week include those tied to EVs, tech, and commodities, reflecting broader market themes.